‎CONDORCET (M. Le Marquis de)‎
‎Essai sur l'application de l'analyse à la probabilité de décisions rendues à la pluralité des voix -- EDITION ORIGINALE‎

‎P., Imprimerie Royale, 1785, un volume in 4 relié en demi-basane marron, dos orné de filets dorés (reliure de l'époque), (filets dorés partiellement effacés, 1 cahier assez fortement roussi comme souvent), (1), 191pp., 304pp.‎

Reference : 8047

‎---- EDITION ORIGINALE ---- BON EXEMPLAIRE ---- "THE FIRST LARGE-SCALE ATTEMPT TO APPLY MATHEMATICS TO KNOWLEDGE OF HUMAN PHENOMENA - A GREAT WORK ON THE VOTING PROCESS". (DSB) ---- "Les travaux de CONDORCET sur le calcul des probabilités l'amènent à concevoir l'application des mathématiques à l'étude des décisions humaines (le vote politique), et plus généralement à la fondation d'une authentique science sociale" (Essai sur l'application de l'naalyse à la probabilité des décisions rendues à la pluralité des voix)". (EN FRANCAIS DANS LE TEXTE N° 196) ---- "CONDORCET's most significant and fruitful endeavor was in a field entirely new at the time. The subject was one that departed from the natural sciences and mathematics but nevertheless showed the way toward a scientific comprehension of human phenomena, taking the empirical approach of natural science as its inspiration and employing mathematics asits took. CONDORCET call this new science "SOCIAL MATHEMATICS". In this work, CONDORCET sought to construct a scheme for an electoral body the purpose of which would be to determine the truth about a given subject by the process voting and in which each elector would have the same chance of voicing the truth. Such a scheme was presented exactly like what is today called a model... The problem of estimating the various parameters on a statistical basis was brought out by CONDORCET, whose treatment foreshadowed very closely that empooyed by modern users of mathematical models in the social sciences....". (DSB III p. 386)**8047/i1‎